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Cassandras and What to Do About Them

In their recent book Warnings, former US national security advisors Richard Clarke and R.P. Reddy take an evidence-based approach to identifying persons they call Cassandras. Cassandras are credible forecasters, with solid track records in their fields, who warn of coming existential threats, based on irrefutable data. The book combines case histories of previous Cassandras who […]

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What’s wrong with a Celebration Society?

In this world, however much we might wish it otherwise, there is no perfection to be found. Every beautiful thing has its limitations or deficiencies. Even mathematics has Godel’s Incompleteness Theorems. So, too, must a Celebration Society be imperfect. This is not to say that I regard it as falling short of being utopian, for […]

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The Mortality Option (Updated)

I usually won’t make blogs out of updates to the book, preferring to save them in a folder for the second edition. However, today I have decided to make an exception. The reason is a development that affects every one of us, and makes it more prudent for each living person to plan for the […]

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What Will the World be like in 2053?

(Note: this was originally posted as an invited answer on Quora. However, by writing this I extended my previous thinking in some new ways, so I thought it should also appear here.) I’ll turn 100 in that year, so I’m pleased you chose it. As I see it, assuming we avoid scenarios in which civilization implodes, […]

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The Importance of Enrollment

Many think that recruiting people to a vision or cause is a sales process. It isn’t. In this blog, I’ll distinguish sales from something that looks similar but yields different results. That something is enrollment. At least two organizations I am familiar with have used enrollment to attract over ½ million people to their programs. […]

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Why Is This Book Different?

This book offers a genuinely new solution to technological unemployment More articles and books about the looming crisis are appearing all the time. Many offer clear explanations of the threat and why it is so serious. Where they fall short is in providing a solution that can actually work. Their solutions for first-world nations always […]